Probability Basicshard
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Two players, AA and BB, play a sequential game with a fair six-sided die. They take turns rolling the die, starting with AA. The game has at most two rounds (each player rolling at most twice).

  • In Round 1, AA wins if they roll a 5 or 6. If AA does not win, BB rolls and wins if they roll a 4, 5, or 6.
  • If BB does not win, Round 2 begins. AA rolls and wins if they roll any number 3\ge 3. If AA does not win, BB rolls and wins if they roll any number 2\ge 2. If no one wins after these rolls, the game is a draw. What is the probability that BB wins the game?