Conditional Probabilityhard
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In a town with an epidemic, the probability that a randomly chosen person is infected is pp. A test for the disease has sensitivity s1s_1 and specificity s2s_2. If a person tests positive, they are retested with a different test having sensitivity s3s_3 and specificity s4s_4. Assuming the two tests are conditionally independent, what is the probability the person is actually infected given both tests returned positive results?