Probability Basicshard
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An industrial safety system contains three independent gas sensors: A, B, and C. The probabilities that they correctly detect a leak when one occurs (sensitivities) are , , and , respectively. The probability of a gas leak occurring is . If there is no leak, each sensor has an identical false-alarm probability of . If exactly two sensors trigger, what is the posterior probability that a gas leak is actually occurring?
An industrial safety system contains three independent gas sensors: A, B, and C. The probabilities that they correctly detect a leak when one occurs (sensitivities) are , , and , respectively. The probability of a gas leak occurring is . If there is no leak, each sensor has an identical false-alarm probability of . If exactly two sensors trigger, what is the posterior probability that a gas leak is actually occurring?