Probability Basicshard
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An automatic rain-detection system has three states: Green (low risk), Yellow (moderate risk), and Red (high risk). Each hour, the system transitions between states. If it is Green, there is a probability it stays Green, and probability it becomes Yellow. If it is Yellow, there is a probability it becomes Green, probability it stays Yellow, and probability it becomes Red. If it is Red, it stays Red with probability . If the system starts in the Green state, what is the probability that it is in the Red state at the end of exactly 3 hours?
An automatic rain-detection system has three states: Green (low risk), Yellow (moderate risk), and Red (high risk). Each hour, the system transitions between states. If it is Green, there is a probability it stays Green, and probability it becomes Yellow. If it is Yellow, there is a probability it becomes Green, probability it stays Yellow, and probability it becomes Red. If it is Red, it stays Red with probability . If the system starts in the Green state, what is the probability that it is in the Red state at the end of exactly 3 hours?