Probability Basicshard
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An automatic rain-detection system has three states: Green (low risk), Yellow (moderate risk), and Red (high risk). Each hour, the system transitions between states. If it is Green, there is a 0.70.7 probability it stays Green, and 0.30.3 probability it becomes Yellow. If it is Yellow, there is a 0.40.4 probability it becomes Green, 0.40.4 probability it stays Yellow, and 0.20.2 probability it becomes Red. If it is Red, it stays Red with probability 1.01.0. If the system starts in the Green state, what is the probability that it is in the Red state at the end of exactly 3 hours?