Conditional Probabilityeasy
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A person is known to be a liar 30% of the time. They claim an event occurred. Given their claim, what is the probability the event actually occurred (assuming a priori the event has probability 0.5)?
A person is known to be a liar 30% of the time. They claim an event occurred. Given their claim, what is the probability the event actually occurred (assuming a priori the event has probability 0.5)?